The Center on Food Security and the Environment is a joint effort of the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies and the Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment.
The hardest evidence for a link so far comes from a team led by Marshall Burke of the University of California and FSE Research Associate, and co-authored with FSE Fellow David Lobell. They studied African wars from 1980 to 2002 and found that rising temperatures are indeed associated with crop failure, economic decline and a sharp rise in the likelihood of war. It predicted a “50% increase” in the chance of civil war in Africa by 2030.