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Journal Article

Christopher Weyant, Margaret L. Brandeau, Marshall Burke (198750), David Lobell (198968), Eran Bendavid, Sanjay Basu
PLOS Medicine, 2018

Rising atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations are anticipated to decrease the zinc and iron concentrations of crops. The associated disease burden and optimal mitigation strategies remain unknown. We sought to understand where and to what extent increasing carbon dioxide concentrations may increase the global burden of nutritional deficiencies through changes in crop nutrient concentrations, and the effects of potential mitigation strategies.

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Journal Article

Sam Heft-Neal, Sam Heft-Neal, Jennifer Burney (199361), Eran Bendavid, Marshall Burke (198750)
Nature, 2018

Poor air quality is thought to be an important mortality risk factor globally

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Journal Article

Michelle Tigchelaar, David S. Battisti, Rosamond L. Naylor, Deepak K. Ray
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2018

Climate-induced shocks in grain production are a major contributor to global market volatility, which creates uncertainty for cereal farmers and agribusiness and reduces food access for poor consumers when production falls and prices spike.

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Journal Article

Marshall Burke, W. Matt Davis, Noah Diffenbaugh
Nature, 2018

International climate change agreements typically specify global warming thresholds as policy targets, but the relative economic benefits of achieving these temperature targets remain poorly underst

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Journal Article

Bing Wang, Ling Cao, Fiorenza Micheli, Rosamond L. Naylor, Oliver B. Fringer
Environmental Fluid Mechanics, 2018

Aquaculture in many countries around the world has become the biggest source of seafood for human consumption. While it alleviates the pressure on wild capture fisheries, the long-term impacts of large-scale, intensive aquaculture on natural coastal systems need to be better understood. In particular, aquaculture may alter habitat and exceed the carrying capacity of coastal marine ecosystems.

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Journal Article

P. A. Turner, Christopher B. Field, David Lobell, D. L. Sanchez, K. J. Mach
Nature Sustainability , 2018

Integrated assessment models generate climate change mitigation scenarios consistent with global temperature targets.

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Working Paper

Marshall Burke, Lauren Falcao Bergquist, Edward Miguel
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, 2018

Large and regular seasonal price fluctuations in local grain markets appear to offer African farmers substantial inter-temporal arbitrage opportunities, but these opportunities remain largely unexploited: small-scale farmers are commonly observed to "sell low and buy high" rather than the reverse. In a field experiment in Kenya, we show that credit market imperfections limit farmers' abilities to move grain inter-temporally.

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Journal Article

Claudia Tebaldi, David Lobell
Environmental Research Letters, 2018

The availability of climate model experiments under three alternative scenarios stabilizing at warming targets inspired by the COP21 agreements (a 1.5 ºC not exceed, a 1.5 ºC with overshoot and a 2.0ºC) makes it possible to assess future expected changes in global yields for two staple crops, wheat and maize.

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Working Paper

David Lobell, George Azzari, Marshall Burke, Gourlay,Sydney, Zhenong Jin, Kilic,Talip, Murray,Siobhan
World Bank Group, 2018

Crop yields in smallholder systems are traditionally assessed using farmer-reported information in surveys, occasionally by crop cuts for a sub-section of a farmer's plot, and rarely using full-plot harvests. Accuracy and cost vary dramatically across methods. In parallel, satellite data is improving in terms of spatial, temporal, and spectral resolution needed to discern performance on smallholder plots.

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Journal Article

Muhammad Sajjad, Yangfan Li, Zhenghong Tang, Ling Cao, Xiaoping Liu
Earth's Future, 2018

Worldwide, humans are facing high risks from natural hazards, especially in coastal regions with high population densities. Rising sea levels due to global warming are making coastal communities’ infrastructure vulnerable to natural disasters.

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Journal Article

Rosamond L. Naylor
2018

Ending world hunger is a universal goal, yet progress and social awareness of the issue waxes and wanes in the course of broader political and economic developments. The massive famine in China under Chairman Mao’s 1958–62 Great Leap Forward, a succession of severe droughts and associated famines in India in 1965–66, and the political violence that accompanied regime change in Indonesia in 1964–67 left tens of millions of people starving and drew global attention to the threat of food insecurity.

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Journal Article

Jillian Fry, Nicholas Mailloux, David Love, Michael Milli, Ling Cao
Environmental Research Letters, Volume 13, Number 2, 2018

Globally, demand for food animal products is rising. At the same time, we face mounting, related pressures including limited natural resources, negative environmental externalities, climate disruption, and population growth.

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Journal Article

Tannis Thorlakson, Jens Hainmueller, Eric Lambin
Global Environmental Change, 2017

Food retailers and manufacturers are increasingly committing to address agricultural sustainability issues in their supply chains. In place of using established eco-certifications, many companies define their own supply chain sustainability standards.

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Journal Article

Rosamond L. Naylor, Matt Higgins
Global Food Security, 2017

Policies that promote biofuels in major agricultural economies raise important questions for food prices and food security at local to global scales. Global biofuel output rose from 38 billion liters to 131 billion liters between 2005 and 2015, boosting the demand for annual- and perennial-crop feedstocks such as maize, sugar, soy, rapeseed, and palm oil. Although ethanol volume was three times that of biodiesel in 2015, the share of biodiesel in total biofuel output rose from 10% to almost 25% over the course of the decade (EIA, n.d.; REN21, 2016).

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Journal Article

Daniel W. Urban, Justin Sheffield, David Lobell
Nature Climate Change, 2017

A critical question for agricultural production and food security is how water demand for staple crops will respond to climate and carbon dioxide (CO

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Journal Article

Elsa Ordway, Rosamond L. Naylor, Raymond N. Nkongho, Eric Lambin
Global Environmental Change, 2017

Oil palm production expanded 1.2 million hectares in sub-Saharan Africa since 1990, with expansion accelerating in several heavily forested countries since 2000.

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Journal Article

Zhenong Jin, Elizabeth A. Ainsworth, Andrew D. B. Leakey, David Lobell
Global Change Biology, 2017
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Journal Article

Meha Jain, Balwinder Singh, A A K Srivastava, R K Malik, A J McDonald, David Lobell
Environmental Research Letters, 2017

Food security will be increasingly challenged by climate change, natural resource degradation, and population growth. Wheat yields, in particular, have already stagnated in many regions and will be further affected by warming temperatures. Despite these challenges, wheat yields can be increased by improving management practices in regions with existing yield gaps.

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Journal Article

Jennifer Burney, Halimatou Alaofè, Rosamond L. Naylor, Douglas Taren
Environmental Research Letters, 2017

Although development organizations agree that reliable access to energy and energy services—one of the 17 Sustainable Development Goals—is likely to have profound and perhaps disproportionate impacts on women, few studies have directly empirically estimated the impact of energy access on women's empowerment.

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Journal Article

Zhenong Jin, George Azzari, Marshall Burke, Stephen Aston, David Lobell
Remote Sensing, 2017

Accurate measurements of crop production in smallholder farming systems are critical to the understanding of yield constraints and, thus, setting the appropriate agronomic investments and policies for improving food security and reducing poverty. Nevertheless, mapping the yields of smallholder farms is challenging because of factors such as small field sizes and heterogeneous landscapes.

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Journal Article

David Lobell, Kaiyu Guan, Jin Wu, John S.Kimball, Marth C. Anderson, Steve Frolking Bo Li, Christopher Hain
Remote Sensing of Environment, 2017

Large-scale crop monitoring and yield estimation are important for both scientific research and practical applications. Satellite remote sensing provides an effective means for regional and global cropland monitoring, particularly in data-sparse regions that lack reliable ground observations and reporting.

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Journal Article

George Azzari, David Lobell
Remote Sensing of Environment, 2017

Satellite-derived land cover maps play an important role in many applications, including monitoring of smallholder-dominated agricultural landscapes.

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Journal Article

George Azzari, Meha Jain, David Lobell
Remote Sensing of Environment, 2017

One of the greatest challenges in monitoring food security is to provide reliable crop yield information that is temporally consistent and spatially scalable. An ideal yield dataset would not only extend globally and across multiple years, but would also have enough spatial granularity to characterize productivity at the field and subfield level.

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Journal Article

Rosamond L. Naylor, Matt Higgins
Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2017

Global biodiesel production grew by 23% per annum between 2005 and 2015, leading to a seven-fold expansion of the sector in a single decade. Rapid development in the biodiesel sector corresponded to high crude oil prices, but since mid-2014, oil prices have fallen dramatically.

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Journal Article

Halimatou Alaofe, Min Zhu, Jennifer Burney, Rosamond L. Naylor, Taren Douglas
Food and Nutrition Bulletin, 2017

Women empowerment (WE) is increasingly viewed as an important strategy to reduce maternal and child undernutrition,13 which continues to be a major health burden in low- and middle-income countries causing 3.5 million preventable maternal and child deaths, 35% of the disease burden in children yo

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